well if the manual really is 250 pages, and given that each purchase of the game allows for 2 simultaneous installations (afaik, that is how they were going to do it with ---------, might have changed now though), i'd speculate that a physical copy of the game would cost no less than 60 bucks USD. this is the max limit for a typical video game on the american market, and i dont see how it could be less (in a boxed edition) because the manual will be expensive to print.
above is total speculation of course.